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The Tracking the Tropics with Brian Norcross podcast is now available to stream.
(FOX time)
Updated at 10:00 a.m. Eastern
Disorder #1 started as a weak frontal system. It ran aground over the warm waters of the central Atlantic beneath a high pressure area. The clockwise flow around the high has pushed it back to the west so that it is now approaching Bermuda.
The system appears to have a short window of time to evolve into a depression or named system. Whether it would be classified as a tropical system or a hybrid, technically subtropical, is an open question. The analysis that diagnoses these things is right.
In any case, the track is predicted to be near Bermuda late today. If winds of 40 mph or greater are found in the circulation, it would be named Tropical Storm or Subtropical Storm Lisa. Even if it develops a little, it is unlikely that it will become very strong.
The National Hurricane Center gives only a small chance of this happening before the disturbance moves north over cold water ahead of the next front moving across New England.
Atlantic Basin Tropical Outlook for Monday morning, October 24, 2022.
(FOX time)
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Potential disruption #2 it could develop from a large area of disturbed weather associated with an old cold front that brought fall weather to much of the east. Computer forecast models predict the low-pressure system could consolidate out of the area in a few days and then meander over warm ocean waters off the southeastern US coast
There is no indication that the system will threaten the land at this time. The National Hurricane Center gives the disturbance a low chance of developing into a tropical depression.
Otherwise, we continue to keep an eye on the Caribbean. If something significant is going to develop, it will almost certainly be there.
FOX Weather Hurricane Specialist Brian Norcross has a podcast, Tracking the Tropics with Brian Norcross, available now at FOX News Audio. You can download it to your device by by clicking here.
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